Tuesday, August 22, 2006

 

NL50 Full-ring datamining results or how to reach >8PTBB/100, Part 2, why are bad players bad?



Above you can see a picture of me playing chess.


Out of these 34 players with >2k hands there are 9 players with worse than –2BB/100. Is it possible to give an explanation from the pokertracker data for that? Are these players all calling machines?

Player 1) –15.64BB/100. He has a VPIP of 25% and a total aggression of 2.26, his steal attempts are 27%. His continuation bet number is 3.36. So far so good. But here are some bad stats: PFR: 15%, fold SB to steal 58%, BB to steal 68%, fold to river bet 57%. He raises too often preflop not only as a steal attempt and he refuses to fold his blinds and to river bets.

Player 2) –10.93BB/100. He has a VPIP of 25.5%, a PFR of 4%, he folds the blinds 94% and 78% and has a total aggression of 1.66. However, his continuation bet number is 7.3, which is too high but on the other hand his steal attempts are only 4%. His flop aggression is only 1.73, which does not fit with his continuation bet number. He nearly always bets when he raised preflop but else his aggression on the flop is too low.

Player 3) –9.50BB/100. He has a VPIP of only 13%, a PFR of 14%, total aggression of 2.74, fold to river Bet 69% and Won$SD of 57%. Looks like a good playing rock, does it not? Why is he losing? He folds his SB to 100% steals, but his own steal attempts are only 5%. His continuation bet number is only 1.14. He nearly never CR, his number is only 0.13.
On the button against him, I can raise with any two cards. After he checks to me on the flop, I would nearly always bet without much risk.

Player 4) –6.72BB/100 . He has a VPIP of 14.96, PFR of 6, total aggression 2.88. However, his continuation bet number is 15! This means he bets the flop after a preflop raise nearly always even against more than 1 opponent. He only folds to river bets 61% and folds his SB to a steal only 75%. This numbers say to me that he is highly predictable. After his preflop raise I could very nicely call him down with a monster and could even bet it on the river.

Player 5) -5.52BB/100. He has a VPIP of 25.15, PFR of 9.79, Won$SD of 52. However, he never never CR, number is 0. And he continuation bets far too less, his number is 0.94. This means after his preflop raise there is a good chance that he does not bet and I am able to catch something nice on the turn.

Player 6) - 4.59BB/100. This one is easy. His total aggression is only 0.91 and his VPIP is 27%. The good old calling machine.

Player 7) –3.29BB/100. VPIP 15%, PFR 2%. His total aggression is only 1.01 and his steal attempts are only 2.5%.

Player 8) –2.56BB/100. He has a Won$at SD of 59% and a VPIP of 17. Why is he losing? His continuation bet number is only 0.78 and his steal attempt only 2.5%.

Player 9) –2.19BB/100. He only has a VPIP of 14 and a PFR of 1.3. His steal attempts are only 4.3 and he folds his SB to 95%.

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